FB   
 
Powered bysps
        Society for Policy Studies
 
 

 
The future of Donald Trumpís America
Posted:Mar 8, 2017
 
Print
Share
  
increase Font size decrease Font size
 
By Sudip Bhattacharyya
 
In anticipating victory for Donald Trump in the US presidential election, I had written in my article ‘The last minute twist’ that ‘...He also touches the heart of such people when he vows to restore pride in Amercanism’.
 
After the initial turmoil of about 100 days, his Chief Strategist, Stephen Bannon, has outlined the lines of work that they would take up for renewal of the American spirit. These are 1) restoring security and sovereignty, 2) encompassing domestic control of the economy and finally 3) deconstruction of the administrative state.
 
In 1) sovereignty is seen as rooted in the nationalist premise that any nation state is built around a core cultural identity that it must protect. Open border is a danger to America’s culture and ‘reason for being’. Immigration is seen as undercutting the national identity – although he is now promising to initially focus on criminal undocumented immigrants.
 
By 2) one is referring to economic nationalism and this is to be seen as a way to declare opposition to the long held bipartisan consensus that favours trade and immigration.
 
In 3) the existing administrative dispensation state is seen as engineered by the Left to advance its agenda. It is, therefore, time to decisively look into the future and offer an alternative vision for how the government can and should serve the Americans. Now is the time to make the case that the Americans shouldn’t have to ask permission of bureaucrats in Washington and in their respective states before they can innovate, trade, shop, work, and consume goods and services. Now is the time to challenge the old, outdated, know-it-all model of government for one that fits the time better. Clearly, they need a government that spends less and does less but also appeals to most Americans of whatever ideological persuasion.
 
Trump later rolled out other policies and positions: a major tax code overhaul; repeal and replace Obamacare; renegotiate or "break" NAFTA; stop hedge funds from "getting away with murder" on taxes; reforming the Veterans Administration; and impose import tariffs as high as 35 per cent. All the while keeping the deficit in check, growing the economy and leaving entitlement programmes like Medicare and Social Security untouched.
 
“Every decision on trade, on taxes, on immigration, on foreign affairs, will be made to benefit American workers and American families,” Trump promised.
 
But, all this would have enormous financial cost. The American Action Forum, a right-leaning policy institute based in Washington D.C., estimates that only immediately and fully enforcing current immigration law, as Trump has suggested, would cost the federal government from $400 billion to $600 billion. It would shrink the labour force by 11 million workers, reduce the real GDP by $1.6 trillion and take 20 years to complete (Trump has said he could do it in 18 months). But then, Bank of England predicted a poor result if Brexit happened. Yet, the outcome so far has been good.
 
The unpredictability of the Trump administration and the consequent turbulence is likely to continue unless he can set clearly and early his vision for the future and how he will feasibly implement it, and lucidly communicate it to the American people.
 
(The author is a commentator on contemporary issues in Economy, Politics and Society. Comments and suggestions on this article can be sent to editor@spsindia.in)
 
 
 
 
Print
Share
  
increase Font size decrease Font size
 
Comments (Total Comments 0) Post Comments Post Comment
Review
 
 
 
 
Bangladesh Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina will be visiting India between 7th and 10th of April and plethoras of agreements are likely to be signed then. Among the various agreements, the two countries will be signing the defence cooperation agreement which  has been getting the most attention. 
 
read-more
The Congress needs to come up with a more aspirational narrative than that of the BJP. The party doesn’t lack talent, but its leadership clearly lacks hunger and enthusiasm required for winning elections, writes Tridivesh Singh Maini for South Asia Monitor.
 
read-more
 India should not hesitate in using both overt and covert means to bring its policies to successful fruition. Indian policy makers must be guided by the dictum that there is no permanent friend or enemy but only permanent interests, writes Adarsh Singh for South Asia Monitor.
 
read-more
Society for Policy Studies in association with India Habitat Centre invites you to a lecture in the Changing Asia Series by by Prof. K. Srinath Reddy, President, Public Health Foundation of India on Health And Development: India Must Bridge The Disconnect Chair: C Uday Bhaskar, Director, Soci...
 
read-more
spotlight image 'Covert military actions or surgical strikes against terror launch pads in Pakistan have limited utility that won't change the mind of the Pakistan Army or the ISI  which sponsor cross-border terrorism
 
read-more
In Dutch politics, alliances are imperative to construct an administration. The post-election government formation is, therefore, a slightly time-consuming process. In due course, a coalition led by the incumbent Prime Minister, Mark Rutte, will surface.  
 
read-more
Japan is a special country in several ways. For centuries, it remained isolated and disconnected with the outside world. But once it opened itself up to the West with the Convention of Kanagawa in 1854 by the use of force by Commodore Matthew Calbraith Perry of the United States Navy, Japan has never looked back. Japan is a spe
 
read-more
Recently, under the leadership of Custodian of the Two Holy Mosques, King Salman bin Abdulaziz Al-Saud, and earlier under the late Custodian of the Two Holy Mosques, King Abdallah bin Abdul-Aziz Al-Saud, Saudi Arabia has rolled out a series of women-friendly initiatives.  Recently, under the leadership of Custodian of the
 
read-more
spotlight image No First Use as a nuclear deterrent without additional caveats should work well enough
 
read-more
Column-image

India remians the inflexible bête-noir for Pakistan, yet there are few books by Indian authors that have sought to interpret the prodigal neighbour in a holistic, informed and empathetic manner.

 
Column-image

The line that Mortimer Durand drew across a small map in 1893 has bled the Pashtun heart ever since. More than a century later both sides of that line remain restless. But the mystery behind what actually happened on 12 November 1893 has never ...

 
Column-image

What went wrong for the West in Afghanistan? Why couldn't a global coalition led by the world's preeminent military and economic power defeat "a bunch of farmers in plastic sandals on dirt bikes" in a conflict that outlasted b...

 
Column-image

What will be Pakistan's fate? Acts of commission or omission by itself, in/by neighbours, and superpowers far and near have led the nuclear-armed country at a strategic Asian crossroads to emerge as a serious regional and global concern whi...

 
Column-image

Some South African generals, allied with the British forces, sought segregation from the enlisted men, all blacks, after being taken prisoners of war. The surprised German commander told them firmly that they would have to share the same quarte...

 
Subscribe to our newsletter
Archive