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World is watching India, China

In the last few weeks , spokesman of Government of China have been issuing several statements and  making observations against India that sound like war cry. 1962 war between India and China was mentioned , as a reminder to India of the happenings then, which virtually amount to a warning that events of 1962  could be repeated in 2017 too.

Jul 27, 2017
By N.S.Venkataraman
 
In the last few weeks , spokesman of Government of China have been issuing several statements and  making observations against India that sound like war cry. 1962 war between India and China was mentioned , as a reminder to India of the happenings then, which virtually amount to a warning that events of 1962  could be repeated in 2017 too.
 
Many in the world, particularly in Asian countries , are not surprised at the belligerent attitude of China towards India at the present moment, since several Asian countries themselves  have  experienced China’s  hostile attitude in recent times.  China’s conflict with neighbours with regard to South China Sea,  Senkaku Island are well known. Neighbouring countries now have developed a sense of fear and apprehension   about China’s attitude towards them and about it’s long term intentions. They think what India faces today in it’s  relation to China , they will face tomorrow.
 
Ever since China forcefully occupied Tibet , it developed courage that it can do anything and get away with it, as China thinks the world opinion is always impotent and all countries are self centred. China seems to believe that might is right and aggressive posture and militant approaches can make it an unquestioned  super power in the world.
 
World observers think that China has been showing  aggressive attitude towards it’s  neighbours , mainly to browbeat them and make them fall in line and accept China’s unquestioned leadership..  This has happened in the case of Pakistan (though China has adopted  different strategy with regard to Pakistan)  but will it happen with regard to other countries in Asia?
 
Observers believe that China will not go for big war with India or any other Asian country immediately,  inspite of it veiled threats since it’s economy and it’s strength is dependent on trade across the world. But, China  would strive to ensure that it would remain prominent in the scene and feared in Asia  to psychologically prepare the neighbouring countries to accept  China’s claimed superiority.
 
China thinks that it has made  USA and West European countries as dependent on China because of huge investments that have been made in China, as China is dependent on Europe and Western countries due to the  market outlet and technology support that China needs.
 
China has concluded  that because of  such  inter dependence, USA and West European countries  cannot afford to take any offensive actions against China in the present circumstances , even if China would involve itself in serious conflict with Asian countries like India and Japan. China appears to be of the view that this present dependence of USA and West European countries on China  give it enough muscle power to exploit the conditions in it’s favour.
 
There is no doubt in anybody’s mind that China has definite expansionist plans and it will use it’s economic and military muscle power to reach it’s objectives of  expanding it’s territories , shake the confidence of the neighbouring countries by browbeating them and in the process dominate Asia.
 
As China has chosen  India as the immediate target in it’s expansionist plans and strategies, India now faces a difficult scenario. India is wondering whether it should appease China and buy peace or confront China and force peace. With 30% of the population in India remaining below poverty line and  with an extremely urgent need to grow it’s economy and industry, India would not want to divest it’s energy and resources in conflict with China.
 
But, if China has alternate plans and wants to continue to have friction with India as a part of it’s long term expansionist strategies, then  India  will have little option than to fight back, with whatever consequences. With two hostile neighbours of China and Pakistan, peace in India has been disturbed already.
 
India certainly would expect  US and West European countries to exert pressure on China to make it desist from it’s aggressive postures. It remains to be seen whether they will sacrifice India’s interests  at the cost of  their interests in China.  China  calculates that US and West European countries would remain self centered and would not go beyond providing lip support to India , that would enable China to  have it’s way.
 
The world is watching and,  particularly other Asian countries,  are watching with great anxiety and apprehensions on China’s next move. They are keen to know India’s strategies and action plans in dealing with China at this critical time. Certainly, they think that India should succeed.
 
(N.S.Venkataraman is Trustee, Nandini Voice For The Deprived. The views expressed are personal. He can be contacted at nsvenkatchennai@gmail.com)

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