When Measles Becomes a National Security Threat for Bangladesh
A measles outbreak is not a military invasion, but it is a non-traditional security threat of the highest order. It erodes the foundational capabilities of a population, destabilizes social cohesion, and exposes the fragility of state institutions. When nine out of ten cases are among children aged 1 to 14, we are not witnessing a natural disaster. We are witnessing a governance failure with profound security implications.
Before Adiba Amin (name changed) came into her mother's womb, her father, Tanjim Amin (name changed), used to pray to Allah for his first child to be a daughter — a child who would cool his eyes, soften his heart, and fill their home with mercy. On November 5, 2025, at dawn, when the muezzin's voice called the faithful to Fajr prayer, Adiba Amin came into this world. Her name meant “princess.” To her family, she was exactly that.
However, happy moments do not always last. On May 14, 2026, Adiba’s journey in this world ended. Measles cut short her beautiful life, interrupted her family’s dreams, and stole their time together.
I begin with Adiba not to turn private grief into public spectacle, but to remind us of what statistics often hide. Behind every number is a child, a father, a mother, a bed in a crowded and noisy hospital, and a family trying to understand how an ordinary illness became a national failure.
As of mid-May 2026, the country has documented 57,846 suspected measles cases, 7,767 laboratory-confirmed infections, and 459 deaths. In 2025, the entire year saw only 125 cases. Something did not merely break; it was dismantled.
Six years ago, I wrote an opinion piece for South Asia Monitor explaining how dengue had become a traditional security threat for Bangladesh. Today, I write again to explain how measles has emerged as another serious threat to the same nation.
A Non-Traditional Security Threat
In security studies, we have long moved beyond the narrow confines of military threats and territorial defense. The Copenhagen School and the UNDP’s human security framework taught us that security encompasses freedom from want and freedom from fear.
A measles outbreak is not a military invasion, but it is a non-traditional security threat of the highest order. It erodes the foundational capabilities of a population, destabilizes social cohesion, and exposes the fragility of state institutions.
When nine out of ten cases are among children aged 1 to 14, we are not witnessing a natural disaster. We are witnessing a governance failure with profound security implications.
Amartya Sen and the Question of Capability
Amartya Sen, in his seminal work Development as Freedom (1999), argued that development should be understood as the expansion of substantive freedoms — the real opportunities people have to lead lives they have reason to value.
Sen distinguished between commodities and capabilities, between having resources and being able to convert those resources into meaningful function. A vial of measles vaccine is a commodity. The capability to survive childhood without succumbing to a preventable disease is a function.
The freedom to raise a healthy daughter is a capability that a just society must guarantee. When the state fails to ensure that vaccines reach children, it does not merely create a supply shortage; it actively shrinks the capability set of its citizens. It converts a preventable disease into a sentence.
Mismanagement, Not Mere Scarcity
The current crisis, therefore, is not simply about a “lack of measles vaccines.” It is about mismanagement, delayed responses, and the crisis that follows when administrative negligence replaces public duty.
In September 2025, the interim administration ended Bangladesh's long-standing policy of procuring vaccines directly through UNICEF, shifting instead to an open-tender bidding system. The transition was defended as an anti-corruption measure, but it was introduced without a proper transition plan and failed to attract viable bids.
Star News reported, based on internal Ministry of Health documents, that routine vaccination coverage exceeded 97 percent during January–December 2025, underscoring vaccine availability.
Even UNICEF’s internal communication indicated that measles vaccine stock remained sufficient until February 5, 2026, suggesting there was no actual shortage during the peak of the outbreak. However, administrative mismanagement, delayed campaigns, and irregular immunization efforts created a vaccination crisis and intensified related public health risks.
Institutional Failure and Erosion of Trust
Sen's framework compels us to look beyond the immediate commodity — vaccines — and examine the conversion factors that transform resources into capabilities. These conversion factors include institutional reliability, bureaucratic competence, political will, and transparency.
When procurement stalls, campaigns are canceled, or data is suppressed, the state does not merely fail to deliver a medical product. It destroys the institutional environment within which citizens can expect to achieve basic health functionings.
A parent in rural Bangladesh does not need to understand the mechanics of Gavi funding or UNICEF logistics. They simply need to trust that when they take their child to a health center, the vaccine will be there. That trust itself is a conversion factor. Its erosion is a security deficit.
Regional Risks and Cross-Border Dimensions
The non-traditional security lens further illuminates the transboundary dimensions of this crisis. The World Health Organization has warned that high population mobility across shared borders with India and Myanmar increases the risk of regional spread.
Cox’s Bazar, hosting nearly one million Rohingya refugees, has become a high-transmission zone where 75 percent of those infected were unvaccinated.
A health crisis that begins in a procurement office in Dhaka can destabilize refugee camps, strain cross-border relations, and threaten regional public health security. This is the nature of non-traditional threats: they do not respect sovereignty, and they punish institutional weakness without discrimination.
Agency, Accountability, Public Responsibility
We must also consider what Sen calls “agency” — the ability of individuals to act on behalf of what they value.
Tanjim Amin prayed for a daughter, named her Adiba, held her as she took her first breath, and kissed her forehead before her burial. His agency as a father was exercised within a social arrangement that should have supported his aspirations for his child's life.
Instead, he was confronted with a state apparatus that systematically dismantled the very protections that would have allowed Adiba to thrive.
The protests by Doctors for Health and Environment, demanding accountability for procurement delays and negligence, are expressions of collective agency in the face of capability deprivation. They are not merely professional grievances; they are security claims.
Rethinking Public Health
The path forward requires more than emergency vaccination campaigns, though those are urgently necessary. It requires a fundamental reorientation of how we conceptualize public health within our national security architecture.
The Ministry of Health must stabilize its vaccine procurement system by reinstating direct procurement through UNICEF and Gavi.
The Directorate General of Health Services must publish unified clinical protocols and establish dedicated “measles treatment corners” to prevent nosocomial transmission.
Routine immunization outreach must be restored to raise coverage above the 95 percent herd immunity threshold.
The state must also resume regular Vitamin-A supplementation, expand services in urban slums, and establish cross-border surveillance posts with India and Myanmar.
More Than a Health Emergency
Above all, Bangladesh must recognize that a child’s right to survive measles is not a charitable afterthought. It is a matter of national security, human development, and justice.
Amartya Sen taught us that poverty is not just low income; it is the deprivation of basic capabilities. By the same logic, this outbreak is not merely a health emergency; it is the deprivation of the most fundamental freedom — the freedom to live.
When Adiba Amin died, she did not die of measles alone. She died of mismanagement, institutional collapse, and a crisis manufactured in offices and executed in hospital wards.
We owe her more than grief. We owe her justice.
(The author is a Lecturer of Political Science at National University Bangladesh, Gazipur. Views expressed are personal. He can be contacted at akmal10th.du@gmail.com /Web | Google Scholar | ORCID | ResearchGate | LinkedIn | Facebook |)

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