Bangladesh is standing on the edge of a precipice. For the first time since 1971, the country faces the real possibility of systemic collapse - political, institutional, and civilizational. The death sentence handed down to former Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina is not a legal verdict but the official announcement of a hostile takeover. It is the clearest demonstration yet that a coalition of Islamist forces, foreign intelligence agencies, and opportunistic political actors has seized the levers of the state and is now dismantling Bangladesh’s secular identity brick by brick.

What is unfolding is not a judicial process - it is the final stage of a political purge designed to erase secular nationalism and replace it with a theocratic order.

Trial Violated International Law

The trial of Sheikh Hasina in absentia violates every principle of natural justice enshrined in the International Covenant on Civil and Political Rights (ICCPR). Article 14 of the ICCPR explicitly guarantees the right of an accused to be physically present, to hear testimony, and to contest evidence. The UN Human Rights Committee has repeatedly affirmed that a fair trial is impossible without these guarantees.

In Hasina’s case, none were upheld. The International Crimes Tribunal’s credibility has long been questioned, but this verdict marks an unprecedented descent into political weaponization. The trial was not a judicial proceeding - it was a convenience, an instrument, and ultimately a message.

Yunus Agenda: Erasing Secular Bangladesh

Muhammad Yunus, once paraded globally as an icon of social entrepreneurship, now presides over Bangladesh’s most regressive political realignment since independence. His unelected regime, propped up by powerful political partners – Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP), Jamaat-e-Islami, Hizb-ut-Tahrir (HuT), Hefazat-e-Islam (HeI), and radicalized Stranded Pakistanis - has systematically targeted the country’s institutional backbone.

The death sentence for Sheikh Hasina is the most visible victory in their broader project: the Islamization of the state and the reversal of the 1971 liberation ideology.

For Jamaat-e-Islami, this verdict is not justice - it is vengeance. For HuT, it is a strategic victory. And for Pakistan’s ISI, it is the restoration of a political order that 1971 had denied them. International observers see it for what it is: a political lynching dressed as jurisprudence. 

Choreographed Attack On History

On the day the death verdict was issued, a disturbing scene played out in Dhaka. Jamaat cadres, HuT members, and radicalized segments of the Stranded Pakistani community marched toward the demolished Dhanmondi residence of Bangabandhu Sheikh Mujibur Rahman. Their intent was clear - to seize the symbolic birthplace of Bangladesh’s secular nationalism and convert it into a “playground”.

The act was not spontaneous. It was strategic. It was meant to humiliate the legacy of 1971, erase the memory of Bangabandhu, and declare to the country that the old order is dead. Only the combined intervention of the police and the army prevented the desecration.

Tribunal A Political Weapon

Michael Kugelman, director of the South Asia Institute at the Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars, l noted that the verdict is viewed through the lens of political mistrust rather than justice. The International Crimes Tribunal has evolved into a political instrument - not a judicial forum. Its current function is simple: eliminate opponents, intimidate institutions, and legitimize the agendas of the ruling coalition.

This time, it delivered exactly what Jamaat and its foreign patrons wanted: the removal of the woman who crippled their militant infrastructure and halted their political ascendancy.

India Caught In Strategic Trap

The Yunus regime immediately demanded India to extradite Sheikh Hasina. This request is more than political pressure - it is a carefully engineered trap. India now faces a tri-fold dilemma:

·       Refusing extradition will escalate tensions with a hostile, Islamist-dominated regime in Dhaka.

 ·       Agreeing to extradition will betray a historic ally who delivered unparalleled counterterrorism cooperation.

 ·       Sending Sheikh Hasina to a “third country” seems unlikely.

Reuters reported that India insists on reviewing all tribunal documents before acting, noting that the case appeared politically motivated - a legitimate exemption under the India–Bangladesh extradition treaty.

The dilemma is profound: If New Delhi miscalculates, it may wake up to an Iranian-style theocracy on its eastern frontier.

Elections A Smokescreen?

Amnesty International’s Secretary General Agnès Callamard condemned the verdict unequivocally, calling it “neither fair nor just”, and stressing that the death penalty “compounds human rights violations”. Her words reflect a larger truth: the trial was never meant to deliver justice but to serve as a tool of state-sponsored political erasure.

Meanwhile, the Yunus regime insists that general elections will be held in February 2026. Few serious analysts believe this promise. There is a growing belief that Yunus, with backing from Pakistan, Turkey, segments of the EU, and parts of the US establishment, plans to remain in power indefinitely. Barring secular and leftist parties from participating is part of this plan. The election timetable is a smokescreen - a diplomatic gesture meant to buy time while the regime consolidates its grip.

In my opinion, December will force the Yunus regime into a constitutional corner: it must transition into an election-time administration and cut the size of its advisory council. If it refuses, political unrest is guaranteed - especially from BNP, which will demand street power to secure its share of the post-election landscape.

A regime already dependent on foreign intelligence patronage and Islamist mobilization may respond with further repression. Bangladesh is entering dangerous waters. The death sentence for Sheikh Hasina is not the end of an era - it is the beginning of a new and darker one.

(The author is a journalist, writer, and editor-publisher of the Weekly Blitz. He specializes in counterterrorism and regional geopolitics. He can be contacted at salahuddinshoaibchoudhury@yahoo.com, follow him on X: @Salah_Shoaib )