Netanyahu, Trump and Khamenei

Defining the End Game: Challenges of Power, Pacts and Faith in the West Asia Conundrum

History offers a consistent lesson: the difficulty is rarely in beginning a conflict; it lies in defining its limits. Sovereignty can be defended. Regimes can be challenged. Alliances can be activated. Yet none of these guarantee clarity about the end state. Without a defined objective and a disciplined exit, events gather their own momentum.

Nepal at a Crossroads: Will the Elections Usher in a Generational Shift in Country's Murky Politics?

A prominent feature of this election is the massive influx of youth participation. Approximately 800,000 first-time voters are preparing to cast their ballots, and over 1,000 candidates under the age of 40 are contesting, signaling a profound generational shift. The political landscape is witnessing fierce competition between established traditional parties and emerging youth-centric forces. A key contest is unfolding in the Jhapa 5 constituency, a traditional stronghold where 35-year-old former Kathmandu mayor Balendra "Balen" Shah, representing the Rastriya Swatantra Party (RSP), is challenging former Prime Minister KP Sharma Oli of the Communist Party of Nepal (UML).   

Khamenei’s Killing: West Asia, Region at the Hormuz Flashpoint

Escalation around Iran narrows diplomatic manoeuvring room across South Asia. India has cultivated strong defence ties with Israel, expanded strategic cooperation with Washington and maintained pragmatic engagement with Tehran, particularly in connectivity and energy sectors. A widening US–Iran confrontation complicates this balancing act. 

AI: Social Disruptor or National Security Risk? How Will Countries Respond

There is a darker side to AI, it is now seen. Firms have established that AI can manipulate, blackmail and threaten. Findings by Anthropic have revealed that advanced AI systems can resort to blackmailing and threatening human users to achieve assigned goals or ensure their survival. As AI writes better versions of itself and big business powers it to seek new frontiers to occupy, will India re-skill and re-arm to keep its independence or run the risk of becoming a digitised colony?

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Can India and Pakistan ever be friends?

Even among the practitioners, some have been over the years lauded as hawks for playing tough with their subcontinental rivals and some derided as doves for seeking reconciliation and understanding only to be rebuffed. But one thing that Pakistan experts in India agree on, be they former diplomats, security officials, academics, or strategic analysts, is that the one single barrier to conciliation and friendship was the all-powerful Pakistan Army which, in the words of Stephen Cohen, who had authored a book on the Pakistan Army, "imposes its own vision of a Pakistani nation.”

COP28 in Dubai made history: Will COP29 in Baku mar the future?

Even though prices of solar and other clean energy are falling rapidly, the level of global electricity production from  coal and gas has not changed significantly. Countries that attended COP28 in Dubai returned after making history. Countries attending COP29 in Baku may end up wondering about the future of that history.  

Isolating Afghanistan is not the answer

Militant groups are proliferating at an alarming rate. The last U.N. report on Afghanistan named scores of militant groups setting up house in Afghanistan, destabilizing an already fragile region. Well known among them is the Islamic State and the Tehrik -e-Taliban Pakistan as well as scores of lesser known militant groups. These groups are populated by militants with a grudge against China, Pakistan, the United States, Russia and India.

Tussle over power: Will Bangladesh renegotiate its PPA with India's Adani Group?

The problem with the payment started following the ouster of the Sheikh Hasina government in August. Amid economic and political instability, forex-starved Bangladesh was paying around $20-40 million against a monthly bill of $90-100 million. This impacted Adani’s ability to procure coal for power generation and make obligatory payments. Adani had warned Dhaka to settle the bills  

Sri Lanka's election poised to herald a new youthful surge in nation's politics

With almost all the senior politicians out of the poll arena, this election represents a generational shift in Sri Lankan politics with a surge of young leaders and a voting population increasingly vocal about breaking free from established political figures and their entrenched practices. The results of the election will likely set the stage for a broader transformation of Sri Lanka’s governance, reflecting the growing demand for new political dynamics led by the country’s younger generation.

Spanish PM's visit will enhance regional security cooperation between Europe and India

The trip - coming as it does on the heels of German Chancellor Olaf Scholz's visit to New Delhi with a large delegation - is a reflection of Europe's increasing desire for greater collaboration with India. And growing Indo-Spanish trade and economic ties may expand further cooperation in commerce, investment, research, technology, education, defense, and security between Europe and India.

Political violence in India: Criminalisation of politics or politicisation of crimes?

Money is an integral part which ensures criminalisation of the political space remains dominated by many such non-state actors without much criticism and conflict. Corruption and the flow of money into politics, therefore, becomes codependent enabling a seamless structure that is vulnerable to uncontrolled hegemony and unlawful domination. 

Is multiculturalism dead? Restrictive immigration would impair cultural diversity and sharpen global polarization

A new narrative then emerges and multiculturalism starts to be perceived as a disruptive force with a contrary ideology that poses a credible threat to the Western worldview. Immigrants are perceived as foreigners, who are disrespectful of the prevailing cultural unity by asserting – even imposing – an alien way of thinking and behaving.

US-India ties: Trump has established track record on India ties, but Harris record is sparse

The Biden administration has taken a relatively low-key approach compared to Canada, but it will continue to be an irritant in India-US relations and could balloon in a Harris administration.

The shadow of the caliphate: Hizb-ut-Tahrir a threat to India's national security

In India, HT's message poses particular risks. India has a sizable Muslim population which exceeds 200 million, and around 47 percent of it consists of a young population under the age of 19. Socio-economic challenges of the community make the youth population vulnerable to the group's radical propaganda. This is especially concerning as India grapples with its own extremist threats.

South Asia: Redistributive growth needs to be the mantra for policymakers

It is estimated  that about 37% percent of the world’s 1.1 billion multi-dimensionally poor people live in  South Asia. And an estimated 272 million poor people in the region live in households with at least one undernourished person. 

Business and bonhomie in Kazan: The significance of the BRICS Summit 2024

For India, its adoption of The Kazan Declaration represents yet another significant turning point. The Kazan Declaration is anticipated to support the BRICS countries' joint endeavours to tackle global concerns, ranging from security to economic development, and to demonstrate the group's increasing global clout.

China-India agreement: West will need to adapt to a new reality

The broader message of the Sino-India pact is clear: the world is moving toward a multipolar order where the dominance of Western powers is increasingly being challenged by the rise of nations like China and India. This agreement exemplifies the ability of non-Western nations to resolve their conflicts without Western interference

India-China military disengagement in Eastern Ladakh: New Delhi should always be ready for a surprise

China has been saying that the border question should be left separate from the bilateral relationship, implying it should be kept on the back burner. Resumption of patrolling in Ladakh, in whatever form, will be good, But the reversion to pre-April 2020 posture by China is out of the question.